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[讨论]Divergence: major indices vs. leadinging stocks |
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[讨论]Divergence: major indices vs. leadinging stocks -- Ah-lei - (195 Byte) 2010-8-26 周四, 04:46 (1659 reads) |
emperorfan [博客]
年龄: 51 加入时间: 2010/02/05 文章: 2008
海归分: 814623
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作者:emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
Maybe you refer to some of the superstars that Cramer likes:
LVS 3mo 30% over SP500
PCLN 3mo 50% over SP500
NFLX 3mo 17% over SP500
CRM 3mo 37% over SP500
....
still, the longer term trend is not that favorable with worrisome Sept and Oct ahead... S&P 1010, 1040, 1057, 1070 are the level to watch. A break of 1040 should lead to a revisit of 1010, there will be huge fight around 1010 but if it's broken down, u can expect a long way down there to...870?
If you hold the superstars/leader/...., you probably need to be quick to act in case they catch the cold later on.....覆巢之下,安有完卵? (1家之言哈)
Here is something I read yesterday:
Second Hindenburg Omen Confirmation In As Many Days, Third H.O. Event In One Week
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/20/2010 15:39 -0500
Longs may be forgiven if they are sweating their long positions over the weekend: not only did we just have a second, and far more solid Hindenburg Omen confirmation today, with 82 new highs, and 94 new lows, but the Saturday is the day when Iran launches its nuclear reactor, and everyone will be very jumpy regarding any piece of news out of the middle east. As for the H.O., the more validations we receive, the greater the confusion in the market, and the greater the possibility for a melt down (or up, as the case may be now that the market is unlike what it has ever been in the past). Furthermore, with implied correlation at record levels (JCJ at around 7 , any potential crash will be like never before, as virtually all stocks now go up or down as one, more so than ever before. And should the HFT STOP command take place, the future should be very interesting indeed (at least for the primary dealers, and the Atari consoles which are unable to VWAP dump their holdings in the nano second before stuff goes bidless).
作者:emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
上一次由emperorfan于2010-8-26 周四, 18:46修改,总共修改了1次
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