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 虽然是OE WEEK，决定开始慢慢空和再买VXX，注意止损， EURO和 JPY 都涨了（怪） |
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虽然是OE WEEK，决定开始慢慢空和再买VXX，注意止损， EURO和 JPY 都涨了（怪） -- emperorfan - (326 Byte) 2010-6-17 周四, 01:44 (2040 reads) |
emperorfan
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年龄: 51
加入时间: 2010/02/05
文章: 2008
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作者：emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
1. Markets tend to return to the mean over time
When stocks go too far in one direction, they come back. Euphoria and pessimism can cloud people's heads. It's easy to get caught up in the heat of the moment and lose perspective.
2. Excesses in one direction will lead to an opposite excess in the other direction
3. There are no new eras -- excesses are never permanent
4. Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways
Regardless of how hot a sector is, don't expect a plateau to work off the excesses. Profits are locked in by selling, and that invariably leads to a significant correction -- eventually. comes.
5. The public buys the most at the top and the least at the bottom
Watch Investors Intelligence (measuring the mood of more than 100 investment newsletter writers) and the American Association of Individual Investors survey.
6. Fear and greed are stronger than long-term resolve
Investors can be their own worst enemy, particularly when emotions take hold. Gains "make us exuberant; they enhance well-being and promote optimism," says Santa Clara University finance professor Meir Statman. His studies of investor behavior show that "Losses bring sadness, disgust, fear, regret. Fear increases the sense of risk and some react by shunning stocks."
7. Markets are strongest when they are broad and weakest when they narrow to a handful of blue-chip names
Hence, why breadth and volume are so important. Think of it as strength in numbers. Broad momentum is hard to stop, Farrell observes. Watch for when momentum channels into a small number of stocks ("Nifty 50" stocks).
8. Bear markets have three stages -- sharp down, reflexive rebound and a drawn-out fundamental downtrend
9. When all the experts and forecasts agree -- something else is going to happen
10. Bull markets are more fun than bear markets
作者：emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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