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 一年之后，中国最不值钱的就是房子[转贴] |
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Donald Trump说美国豪宅和高档商业还在涨 -- 已满13岁 - (7 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:27 (399 reads) |
抢注G8
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头衔: 海归中校
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加入时间: 2007/02/17
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来自: 苏州
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作者：抢注G8 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
芝加哥市中心CBD的空房率2008年第二季度到达6年来最低点。Class A办公楼的租金要比第一季度平均涨了$0.31.
Chicago Metro Industrial Market
Overview
Q2 2008 market conditions in the metropolitan industrial market were volatile, largely due to the lagging economy. On the positive side, leasing activity increased, less space was returned to the market, and speculative deliveries slowed. However, negative net absorption continued to further accumulate, and the overall vacancy rate increased.
Supply and Vacancy: The total supply of industrial property reached 121.5 million square feet (SF) in Q2, an all-time high. This is an increase of 3.8 million SF from last quarter, and up 12 million SF from a year ago (Q2 2007). The Q2 2008 vacancy rate totaled 9.38%, an increase from the Q1 total of 9.11% as well as the 8.58% rate of one year ago. Despite a growing vacancy rate, the metropolitan Chicago industrial market has not yet hit the ten-year high of 9.64%, posted in Q1 2004.
Lease and Sale Activity: Leasing activity increased in the second quarter to a total of 9.7 million SF. Year to date, leasing activity has totaled 17.9 million SF, compared to 18.4 million SF during the same period last year.
Q2 2008 sale volume totaled 3.3 million SF, bringing the year-to-date figure to 7.0 million SF. This is a 31.7% decline from the 9.2 million SF sold in the first half of 2007.
Net Absorption: Q2 2008 net absorption improved, but was negative 1.7 million SF. This brought the year-to-date total to negative 4.9 million SF, a sharp contrast to mid-year 2007 when absorption was a strong 6.2 million SF.
Construction Activity: Although Q2 construction deliveries were noticeably less than Q1 completions (4.0 million SF versus 5.0 million SF) the first half total of 9.0 million SF was nearly equal to the 8.9 million SF completed during the first half of 2007.
Speculative development continued to be the primary focus of construction deliveries in the first half of 2008. Of the 9.0 million SF built this year, 7.7 million SF (85.6%) were speculative in nature.
Industrial Market Summary
2008 Second Quarter Highlights
资料链接
https://files.haiguinet.com/flashupload/UploadedFiles/1220849182_209Chicago_metro_Area.pdf
Data and market summary compiled by Colliers, Bennett & Kahnweiler, Inc.
Chicago Metro Office Market
Downtown Chicago Overview
Map of Downtown Chicago Provided by CB Richard Ellis
Market tightens, vacancy rate lowest since 3Q 2002: The vacancy rate dropped to the lowest level in almost 6 years with a 60 basis point decrease to 10.8%. This decrease is largely due to 650,000 square feet (SF) of vacant space being removed from the market through the conversion of two blocks of office space to hotels at 330 N. Wabash Ave. (the former IBM building) and 208 S. LaSalle St.
Demand for office space in Q2 was a positive 149,659 SF, showing improvement from Q1 2008 net absorption of -202,688 SF. The majority of the absorption is attributed to the expansions of United Airlines, Private Bank, and Veolia Environmental, a new tenant entering the market. Leasing activity in general seems to be slowing down due to the effects of a less than robust economy.
Net asking rates remain high, expected to peak in 2008: Gross asking rental rates per SF have continued to rise in the Central Business District (CBD) in Q2, with an increase of $0.31 over Q1 2008. Asking rates appear to have peaked, however, and anecdotal evidence suggests that effective taking rates are beginning to decline, with landlords offering larger concessions packages. In light of the predicted rental rate peaks, it is expected that only the Class A market will be able to maintain current asking rates given the high demand for, and limited supply of, Class A quality space.
Uncertainty surrounding planned projects: Due to current economic instability, it is uncertain which planned buildings will obtain financing to begin construction. The planned tower at 444 W. Lake St. (River Point) has recently achieved 58% pre-leasing, with Baker & McKenzie signing a letter of intent for 250,000-300,000 SF. Similarly, the American Medical Association (AMA) has committed to 278,000 SF at the Union Station re-development (210 S. Canal St.). The lease puts the building at 57% occupied (212,000 SF available). Even with pre-leasing at these levels, it is still unknown whether River Point and the Union Station re-development will proceed to the construction phase.
Downtown Market Summary
Second Quarter 2008
Total Office Space (SF): 121,080,319
Avg. Ask. Class A Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $37.16
Avg. Ask. Class B Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $30.47
Avg. Ask. Class C Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $25.53
Direct Available Rate: 10.8%
Available Space (SF): 13,118,143
Net Absorption (SF): 149,659
Data and market summary compiled by CB Richard Ellis
Suburban Overview
Demand for office space reaches an 8-year low: Q2 2008 saw a significant decrease in demand for suburban office space, with net absorption falling to -1,063,495 square feet (SF), the lowest in 8 years. While absorption decreased in all classes, 52% occurred in the Class C market in Naperville, where 348,000 SF of space leased by Lucent Technologies was converted to direct vacant space upon expiration of the lease. The direct vacancy rate increased 110 basis points to 16.6%, the highest vacancy rate since Q1 2006.
Negative economic factors affect the office building leasing market: Despite diminished demand, asking gross rental rates increased for the 9th consecutive quarter to $22.27 per SF. Concerns about the economy have contributed to a decrease in leasing activity, as tenants remain cautious about future office space needs. Relatively few large tenants are looking for office space in the suburban market, and most signed transactions involve employers hesitant to expand their workforce downsizing and giving back space. The increased cost of constructing office space is also deterring tenants from expanding or relocating their offices. Tenant improvement dollars provided by landlords have remained flat over the past few years, while the cost of building or improving office space has increased sharply.
Suburban Market Summary
Second Quarter 2008
Total Office Space (SF): 106,492,296
Avg. Ask. Class A Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $26.65
Avg. Ask. Class B Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $21.16
Avg. Ask. Class C Gross Lease (Annual per SF): $17.72
Available Rate: 16.6%
Available Space (SF): 17,719,546
Net Absorption (SF): (1,063,495)
Data and market summary compiled by CB Richard Ellis
作者：抢注G8 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 一年之后，中国最不值钱的就是房子[转贴] -- 仰望星空 - (2597 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 10:11 (2773 reads) - 但愿 -- leewenesl - (195 Byte) 2008-9-12 周五, 13:02 (277 reads)
- 我好多年前就是这么想的，就不买，后来看见别人都买了还赚钱， -- 勤劳 - (21 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 13:21 (647 reads)
- 你这样做就对了。 -- 方天画戟 - (16 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 13:30 (467 reads)
- 吃我。。。。 -- 勤劳 - (0 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 13:52 (408 reads)
- 是啊，危殆时刻总需要有人挺身而出。。。 -- 方天画戟 - (18 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 15:22 (382 reads)
- 你就气我吧。 -- 勤劳 - (0 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 15:36 (402 reads)
- 不是气你。。。 -- 方天画戟 - (65 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 15:48 (415 reads)
- 哦。。。。 -- 勤劳 - (17 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 18:07 (456 reads)
- 下次要先下手为强！ -- 方天画戟 - (0 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:11 (341 reads)
- 我善良。 -- 勤劳 - (0 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:15 (392 reads)
- 人善被人骑，马善被人欺！ -- 方天画戟 - (2 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:20 (363 reads)
- 你 -- 勤劳 - (26 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:31 (344 reads)
- 美国房价持跌 -- gigilang - (472 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 11:23 (543 reads)
- Donald Trump说美国豪宅和高档商业还在涨 -- 已满13岁 - (7 Byte) 2008-9-07 周日, 21:27 (399 reads)
- Trump并非在吹牛，地产最重要的3因素：1. Location; 2. Location; 3. Location! -- 抢注G8 - (6728 Byte) 2008-9-08 周一, 12:43 (358 reads)
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