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 为什么有关妇女的大事,海龟网的JM们没有兴趣讨论?? |
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海归草
[博客]
[个人文集]
警告次数: 1
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头衔: 海归中将
声望: 专家
性别:  年龄: 55
加入时间: 2006/05/19
文章: 4193
来自: NYC,LA,Chicago,Miami
海归分: 512448
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作者：海归草 在 海归茶馆 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
前两天，喜拉里。克林顿正式宣布竞选美国总统。喜拉里是女权分子，有太多的喜粉，也有很多人嫉恨 -- 俺就认识很多。如果她当选，对美国的全民医保、教育、妇女权益等，会有巨大的影响。我所奇怪的是，这里的姐妹似乎对此兴趣缺缺。[难道大家不再是精英/主流/知识分子/well educated了吗]
憋不住，发点个人看法：
1）民主党内绝对领先，恐怕没有对手
2）但是，我觉得要赢得大选还很难，原因是：
* 她的自由派立场在大选中是负数，一般以偏中间的为好
* 以参议员身份竞选总统，一般难敌州长出身的
* 民主党的候选人，以南方州的为宜（如比尔和卡特），以获得红色州的选票。她在扭腰，本来就是民主党的蓝色州，出生与教育都在北方，不利于与南方选民有共同点
* 比尔。克林顿若过度助选，可能也是负担（所以我估计比尔在幕后为多）
* 国会已在民主党手中，选民容易分开投票（split vote），容易跑票
* 共和党的铁杆选民比较团结，一般都反感喜拉里
* 民主党的投票率过低
。。。。。。
最新消息：
Clinton confident in her 2008 prospects By BETH FOUHY, Associated Press Writer
Starting her first full week as a presidential contender, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton expressed confidence she can win the 2008 Democratic nomination.
Clinton, speaking publicly for the first time since declaring her candidacy on her Web site, said Sunday she decided to run after doing a "thorough review" of the challenges facing the country. She said she is the best candidate for the job and is eager to begin campaigning.
"It'll be a great contest with a lot of talented people and I'm very confident. I'm in, I'm in it to win and that's what I intend to do," she said.
The former first lady was vying to be the first woman and first presidential spouse to win the White House. Polls show her leading a crowded field of Democratic candidates that includes Illinois Sen. Barack Obama (news, bio, voting record), who hopes to become the first black president.
A Washington Post-ABC News poll released Sunday shows Clinton is the favorite of 41 percent of Democrats, more than double the support of any of her rivals.
Despite abundant strengths, Clinton remains a polarizing figure to many voters and faces questions about her ability to win a general election. Her position on the Iraq war — she voted to authorize the invasion in 2002 and has refused to call for a date-certain removal of troops — has alienated many Democratic activists, who vote heavily in primaries.
Clinton was to start a three-day series of Web chats with supporters Monday evening, and travels to Iowa, site of the first nominating caucuses, next weekend.
"I want to have a conversation with our citizens about what we want for our country," Clinton said.
Clinton's comments came during a visit to a Manhattan community health clinic, where she was promoting a federal children's health-care program.
Clinton said she would introduce legislation to expand the Children's Health Insurance Program to all families who need it, regardless of income. Aides said Clinton was determined to attend to her Senate duties throughout the campaign.
Reflecting her new status as a leading presidential contender, the room was packed with media — some two dozen television camera crews jockeyed for position with scores of reporters from as far away as Germany. Photographers waited outside in chilly temperatures for over an hour to snap pictures of Clinton's arrival.
Clinton said she decided to run after talking to family, friends and supporters since her re-election in November.
"I concluded, based on the work of my lifetime and my experience and my understanding of what our country has to confront in order to continue to make opportunity available to all of our citizens here and to restore our leadership and respect of America around the world, that I would be able to do that — to bring our country together to meet those tough challenges," she said.
The former first lady answered questions after promoting the CHIP legislation. She appeared onstage gripping the hands of 1-year-old Olivia and 3-year old Camilla Harden, whose parents said they relied on CHIP for their daughters' health care. The girls looked bewildered as hundreds of flashbulbs popped and cameras whirred throughout the room.
"It's simply wrong for any child to lack health care in America. That's where we start," Clinton said.
Clinton and Obama are the most visible candidates in a field that includes the 2004 vice presidential nominee, John Edwards. Other candidates include Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd, former Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, and Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich. New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson jumped in Sunday; Delaware Sen. Joe Biden has said he is running and would formalize his decision soon.
___
Associated Press writer Karen Matthews contributed to this report.
作者：海归草 在 海归茶馆 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 为什么有关妇女的大事,海龟网的JM们没有兴趣讨论?? -- 海归草 - (4392 Byte) 2007-1-22 周一, 20:48 (1279 reads)
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