| 作者 |
 Euro correlation and market view 马后炮 |
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emperorfan
[博客]
年龄: 51
加入时间: 2010/02/05
文章: 2008
海归分: 814623
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作者：emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
马后炮
EURO与SP 关联很强，此趋势会持续。
但今早，EURO持平，欧股略跌，
却被美股开盘大跌拉下水，欧美股齐跌，但欧元不动
感觉是CORRELATION 差别 背离大了，
若意在欧股，那欧洲闭市后可翻盘，至少与欧元趋同，
在１２：００前CLOSE SPY PUT， 改做多：买SPY MAY CALL，
果然成V字翻盘，于１４：００卖了SPY MAY CALL，
（但感觉THURSDAY EUROPE 会升，EURO已above １.24)
打字太累，看图
I am not a day trader, above trades are for fun.
However, please watch euro trend when trade.
May 21, Eurozone will meet. It may still bitch each other, or it may find a way to keep the old euro while organize a core-euro group inside old euro,
and resolve the issue to kick the weakest link out,
This could be a bullish news squeeze the shorts.
a link for Euro discussion
[url]
https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100517_germany_greece_and_exiting_eurozone[/url]
Overall markets are trying to hold on 200 DMA which corresponds to
DJ-30 - 10280, SP-500 1105, NASDAQ 2220.
1050 is a key level for bull/bear in SP500.
For euro, it seems 1.21.
The world is in overall protectionism and deflation zone. Deflation trend favor growth, large cap, low beta, which can be loaded around the capitulation. I believe the market is a little oversold, please be ready to load some safe bet.
Or you can Long large-cap/growth/low-beta ETFS and short small-cap/value/high-beta.
Same as long GXF + EZU or EPU
(Long Nordic country, short club med)
The trend will reverse somehow when companies start preannouncing Q2 earnings preview next month and bulls will resume their uptrend for a while.
Then it might go down again
Stocks to watch
-----------------------
There are many stocks down over 20% such as F, C, BAC, GS, FCX, STLD, AKS, MT, V, MA and many more. They all will go up when the dust settles.
IBM is not bulging and will resolve in upside breakout in the next couple of quarters and is heading towards 150-160 area.
SNDK is benefiting from AAPL's innovation, is heading towards 60 area[url][/url]
作者：emperorfan 在 谈股论金 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 Euro correlation and market view 马后炮 -- emperorfan - (2104 Byte) 2010-5-20 周四, 13:35 (3030 reads)
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