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主题: 看到这么多人讲主流。我想问问在中国什么是主流?怎么加入中国的主流?海归网谁是主流?
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作者 看到这么多人讲主流。我想问问在中国什么是主流?怎么加入中国的主流?海归网谁是主流?   
所跟贴 如果要是央行故意反趋势走,央行算不算主流? -- 对冲基金 - (0 Byte) 2006-5-11 周四, 05:25 (435 reads)
CMT





头衔: 海归上士


加入时间: 2006/05/07
文章: 3
来自: NYMEX, CME
海归分: 1211





文章标题: Yes and No. Please also take look at the Path of Least Resis (291 reads)      时间: 2006-5-11 周四, 12:04   

作者:CMT海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com

It may have certain impact, but it has limitation. Just take look at the historical data, you will find out that the trend would not reverse just because Fed did something against it.

That’s why Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rates to 5-Year High, the 16th time in a row on today (Wednesday, May 10, 2006).

安校 has contributed more than 2000 posts including 12 series BBQ Turkey to built up his reputation, and influencing power at haiguinet.

You wrote 7 series 自传体小说 plus other posts to win the trust / credential from your would-be client.

GCD government has to go though multiple steps to build China into a modern democratic society.

Trend is dynamic, and has its own cycle. It has different context in different time frame. For example, before 1978, the class struggle was the major trend for GCD, but now to build strong economic power, a peaceful rising country is the current trend. Therefore GCD has to keep up with the current trend (与时俱进) to be able to survive.

Trend reversal takes time ...

Trend is sustainable ...

Trend can be predictable only by those people who have vision ...



MA, MACD, …, etc, could be used as trending indicators in trading.

Trend can be represented. Somehow,安校,老狼,TUTU and yourself are Reps of the current trend at higuinet. That is part of the reason why your guys' posts got most hits compare with others.

GCD’s 3 representatives would be another example.

Please also take look at the Path of Least Resistance if not done yet. It may help to explain it.

---------------------------------------------------
Path of least resistance

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


Hikers choose the easy way to cross hills.The path of least resistance describes the physical or metaphorical pathway which provides the least resistance to forward motion by a given object or entity, among a set of alternative paths. The concept is often used to describe why an object or entity takes a given path.

In physics, the path of least resistance is always taken by objects moving through a system. For example, water flowing downhill follows the path of least resistance as it is pulled downward by gravity. Electricity flowing through a circuit behaves similarly; while every available path has some current flowing through it, the amount of current through each path is inversely proportional to its electrical resistance. Atmospheric disturbances (storms) flow on the path of least resistance by flowing toward zones of low barometric pressure, where lower air density offers less impedance to the storm system than higher pressure zones.

One exception to this rule is in the realm of quantum physics, where particles behave in a probabilistic rather than deterministic manner.

The path of least resistance is also used to describe certain human behaviors, although with much less specificity than in the strict physical sense. In these cases, resistance is often used as a metaphor for personal effort or confrontation; a person taking the path of least resistance avoids these.

An important note to the concept of the path of least resistance is that it applies on a local, not global, reference. For example, water always flows downhill, regardless of whether briefly flowing uphill will help it gain a lower final altitude. In physics, this phenomenon allows the formation of potential wells, where potential energy is stored because of a barrier restricting flow to a lower energy state.

作者:CMT海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com









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