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 大家是否讨论一下中国昨天通过的汇率改革方案 |
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大家是否讨论一下中国昨天通过的汇率改革方案 -- NJ_TIGER - (20 Byte) 2010-6-20 周日, 09:48 (3111 reads) |
emperorfan
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作者：emperorfan 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
This is probably the beginning of a series of actions.
央行:推进人民币汇率机制改革 增强汇率弹性(全文)
进一步推进人民币汇率形成机制改革，增强人民币汇率弹性
中国人民银行新闻发言人今日发表谈话，“进一步推进人民币汇率形成机制改革，增强人民币汇率弹性”。
根据国内外经济金融形势和我国国际收支状况，中国人民银行决定进一步推进人民币汇率形成机制改革，增强人民币汇率弹性。
2005年7月21日起，我国开始实行以市场供求为基础、参考一篮子货币进行调节、有管理的浮动汇率制度。几年来，人民币汇率形成机制改革有序推进，取得了预期的效果，发挥了积极的作用。
在本次国际金融危机最严重的时候，许多国家货币对美元大幅贬值，而人民币汇率保持了基本稳定，为抵御国际金融危机发挥了重要作用，为亚洲乃至全球经济的复苏做出了巨大贡献，也展示了我国促进全球经济平衡的努力。
当前全球经济逐步复苏，我国经济回升向好的基础进一步巩固，经济运行已趋于平稳，有必要进一步推进人民币汇率形成机制改革，增强人民币汇率弹性。
中方官员：G20讨论人民币汇率不合适
在二十国集团领导人第四次峰会临近的时间点上，美国对人民币再度施压。我方官员在18日外交部举行的中外媒体吹风会上明确回应，人民币是中国的主权货币，不应在国际上讨论，中国政府会根据国内外形势来研究制定汇率政策。
上周，美国财政部部长盖特纳在美国会参院作证时声称，“中国汇率政策的扭曲影响超出本国范围”。同时，美一些国会议员声称人民币汇率被严重低估，表示将于近期推动国会通过有关议案，对“汇率存在根本性偏差”的国家实施贸易制裁。
外交部副部长崔天凯在吹风会上表示，人民币是中国的货币，这不应该是国际上讨论的事情。中国人民银行国际司司长张涛也介绍，“在过去的G20峰会里，人民币问题从来没有被列入会议议程，在历次的公报中也没有出现。目前，从第四次峰会发来的文件中，也没有这项议程。”他强调，人民币是中国的主权货币，中国政府会根据国内外形势来判断，研究制定汇率政策。
就在17日外交部的例行记者会上，外交部发言人秦刚也称，在G20场合讨论人民币汇率问题是不合适的。
美就人民币汇率再发“噪音”有何玄机？
上周，美国国会就人民币汇率问题举行听证会，美国财长盖特纳和美联储主席伯南克等人又发表了强硬言论。人民币汇率问题风波再起，且正有炒作成新一轮美对华攻势的可能，背后究竟有何玄机？
值得注意的是，在人民币汇率问题上，美方对中国的施压，呈现为一个连环的系统，分为“学者-议员-政府-商界”的不同层次。首先是一些知名学者对中国汇率体系恶意攻击，其次是美国国会议员的上纲上线，然后则是奥巴马政府的乐观其成，美国商界则多持坐山观虎斗的看客心态。
China's unexpected pledge Saturday to allow its currency to rise more rapidly will probably make for a less contentious meeting with Group of 20 world leaders in Toronto next week.
Some private analysts doubted China would act quickly.
"Just these words are not going to be enough to satisfy the U.S. Congress and Treasury," said Marc Chandler, head of global currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co in New York.
"I am skeptical. I am not convinced that these words mean what they seem to mean." U.S. Democratic Senator Charles Schumer, who has led a congressional charge to get tougher on China, called the move "vague and limited" and typical of China's response to pressure.
"Until there is more specific information about how quickly it will let its currency appreciate and by how much, we can have no good feeling that the Chinese will start playing by the rules," Schumer said in a statement e-mailed to Reuters.
Stealing G20's Thunder
Just one day earlier, it appeared the yuan dispute was nearing boiling point after Beijing said its currency had no place on the agenda at the G20 meeting.
U.S. President Barack Obama released a sharply worded letter to his G20 colleagues saying that free-floating currencies were "essential" for global economic stability.
"China has once again stolen the thunder from the international community by timing its announcement of a move towards greater exchange rate flexibility right before the G20 meeting," said Eswar Prasad, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution think tank in Washington.
"The big question is whether this is a symbolic move or a true shift in China's currency policy that will result in significant currency appreciation in the near term.
On Saturday, Obama called China's decision a "constructive step" that can help safeguard the recovery and contribute to more balanced growth.
The International Monetary Fund called the yuan announcement a welcome development that would help China reorient its economy toward domestic demand.
A stronger yuan would promote U.S. exports to China and "strengthen what is already a positive and beneficial trade relationship between the two nations," said Rich Lavin, group president for emerging markets at heavy equipment maker Caterpillar Inc.
China Business Council, whose members do business in China, said it supported allowing the exchange rate to better reflect market influences.
"China's growing exports and inflation concerns suggest that China's exchange rate should strengthen," USCBC President John Frisbie said in a statement.
"We look forward to seeing how the People's Bank of China will implement their statement of today."
No More Mr. Nice Guy
Obama's administration has relied on quiet diplomacy to nudge China into unpegging its currency, much to the frustration of some lawmakers who thought the White House was too soft on an increasingly aggressive competitor.
Geithner delayed a report to Congress due in April in which Washington had to decide whether it would label China a currency manipulator, a step that could trigger an IMF review and no doubt anger Beijing.
Geithner had essentially offered China a grace period through the Toronto G20 meetings, and many economists thought he would affix the label in the coming weeks.
It appeared that Washington and Beijing had at least an implicit agreement earlier this year that China would allow the yuan to rise more rapidly, said Menzie Chinn, a China policy scholar who teaches economics at the University of Wisconsin.
Europe's worsening debt troubles put that on hold. Europe is China's largest trading partner, so China had no desire to do anything that would further harm demand.
"The impending G20 meeting required at least some sort of indication of impending action," Chinn said.
"Saying that they will allow 'flexibility' means they can also try to occasionally depreciate the yuan on a day-to-day basis, here and there, to discourage speculators gambling on predictable day-by-day appreciation." But that will probably not be enough to calm tensions among U.S. lawmakers who want to penalize China.
Unless China gets more specific in the next few days, "we will have no choice but to move forward with our legislation," Schumer said.
作者：emperorfan 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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 大家是否讨论一下中国昨天通过的汇率改革方案 -- NJ_TIGER - (20 Byte) 2010-6-20 周日, 09:48 (3111 reads) - 不得了,发大财机会到了 -- 四天王 - (24 Byte) 2010-6-20 周日, 12:46 (746 reads)
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