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 天凉, 我的观点, 关于股市 和 投机 --- 不好意思， 自己提起来 |
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我的确想听听行业内的人员谈谈： -- aq999 - (251 Byte) 2009-3-01 周日, 03:17 (475 reads) |
天凉好个哈糗
头衔: 海归上校
声望: 教授
加入时间: 2006/03/27
文章: 731
海归分: 69072
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作者：天凉好个哈糗 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
1. Too hard to set the holding period, or put it another way, holding period is not the best parameter to gauge or to quantify the speculativeness.
Huge bubble could be and usually is fueled in a long period of time and those who hold long enough are actually the ones making the most out of it, am i right?
Say you bot Usd/Jpy around 95 and kept the carry trade on till around 120 then u sold it for a huge gain, if u can time the market right.
Those who bot around the top of 125, although they r only holding that position for a few weeks, got smoked hard.
Should they be to blame? Yes, in a sense of your words, they are also part of the speculation. However when you compared with the first guy who bought that @ 95, who is more speculative please?
2. Margin.
Another hard topic indeed, as long as there are lenders out there who r willing to take the credit risk of lending, how can you stop 'em from doing so and why?
Is there supposed to be a free market and vote for the best?
I guess you should say, can not use margin backed by the creation of credit...
That is also, hard to say, once the credit got flew into the system.
How can you identify bro?
作者：天凉好个哈糗 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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